Sunday I saw a letter to the editor in the Star Telegram from Mr. Roy Hampton. Mr. Hampton was encouraging trump with this letter, and at its end he stated, “Stay on the side of hope; Mr. President, we are with you.” This sentence struck me.
Mr. Hampton is correct, one of the things trump is doing is expressing optimism and trying to encourage hope among those listening about the coronavirus. However, not all hope is alike; some varieties are dangerous and toxic, eroding trust and, eventually, hope. The other can uplift and motivate people to persevere and act well in trying and dangerous times.
Other than presentation, what differentiates between good and bad hope? Truth and actions. Is what is being said truthful or misleading? Is what is being said accurate and the best known, or is it a verbal sleight of hand to misdirect attention from what is actually happening. Are actions being taken that will adequately address the danger?
For examples of how hope was promoted and encouraged during dangerous times, and done so in a good way, you cannot do better than read Lincoln’s, FDR’s and Churchill’s speeches . They combined accurate information, they did not play down the danger and threat, and they still encouraged and fostered hope. They provided motivation for people to continue to persist in the face of grave danger. And they did so eloquently. And then they took appropriate actions.
For an example of false hope, the type that makes bad situations worse, there is no finer example than trump.
Instead of preparing Americans for what was coming by letting them know that, though small then, this was a very real danger, a danger that needed actions now to prevent it from becoming a consuming conflagration, trump denied and minimized it.
JAN 22:
Context: One confirmed case in the US. At this time WHO reports cases in Thailand, Japan, South Korea as well as, of course, in China. WHO states that the virus risk is very high. US Intelligence had been increasingly strong in their warnings of the dangers of this virus in their intelligence briefings for the president in January.
trump said: “We have it totally under control. It’s one person coming in from China. We have it under control. It’s going to be just fine.”
trump’s actions: By this time the trump administration had offered to send experts to China to investigate the virus. They had also issued and updated a travel advisory to China, created an incident management system in order to better share information about the virus, activated the CDC emergency operations center, and implemented public health entry screening at three US airports that received the most travelers from Wuhan China. Dr. Fauci had also announced that the NIH was working on the development of a vaccine for the coronavirus. On Jan 23rd the CD also sought a special emergency authorization from the FDA to allow states to use its newly developed coronavirus test.
Commentary: While creating a sense of optimism, it did so at the expense of truth. As time went on, it became obvious that we did not have it under control. Instead of this false hope, trump could have created a sense of how important it was that we as a nation take this threat seriously and start to respond strongly and appropriately now. trump could and should have gone over why this virus was so potentially dangers, and then listed what steps he had taken and what further ones could be necessary in the future.
Also, while the health screenings at the three airports were a good idea, they were not implemented well and the screenings were spotty. Further, since many people with this virus do not show any symptoms, they would be missed. Finally, by the time even these inadequate screenings were put into place, over 4,000 people had already arrived here from Wuhan China.
True hope missed, false hope created.
JAN 30
Context: WHO declares a global health emergency.
trump said: ” We think we have it very well under control. We have very little problem in this country at this moment — five — and those people are all recuperating successfully. But we’re working very closely with China and other countries, and we think it’s going to have a very good ending for us … that I can assure you,”
On Feb 2 trump, while on the Hannity show, states, “We pretty much shut it down coming in from China.”
trump tweeted: “China has been working very hard to contain the Coronavirus. The United States greatly appreciates their efforts and transparency. It will all work out well. In particular, on behalf of the American People, I want to thank President Xi!” Jan 24
“Just received a briefing on the Coronavirus in China from all of our GREAT agencies, who are also working closely with China. We will continue to monitor the ongoing developments. We have the best experts anywhere in the world, and they are on top of it 24/7!” Jan 29
trump’s actions: trump blocks travel from China, and holds a campaign rally. Declared a public health emergency. A Coronavirus Task Force meant to monitor and contain spread of the coronavirus and inform the president had been formed on Jan 29th. On the 31st all flights from China funneled into just seven US airports.
Commentary: By the time the travel ban from China was instituted, the virus was already here. While it may have slowed its progress somewhat, it did not do so by much. The saying closing the barn door comes to mind. Further, the screenings were still spotty, there was no consistent quarantine of travelers from China, especially important since so many with this disease are asymptomatic.
Further, I do not see or find anything about looking at critical inventory for medical supplies, finding ways to address shortages, talking to the governors of states in order to prepare for coordinating responses.
I also see no coordination of fact gathering of how other countries are responding. And even though he declared a public health emergency, he did not use any of the extra powers given to him under that act to do anything.
Also, given how one of the groups trump is now blaming for the poor US response to the coronavirus is China, his praise of China then comes across as contradictory. As so many of his statements do.
True hope missed, false hope created.
FEB 29
Context: First coronavirus death in US (yes, now we know there were a couple of earlier ones, but that was not known until recently). Seventy four confirmed cases in the US.
trump said: “I had a long talk with President Xi — for the people in this room — two nights ago, and he feels very confident. He feels very confident. And he feels that, again, as I mentioned, by April or during the month of April, the heat, generally speaking, kills this kind of virus,”. Feb 10. Twelve confirmed cases.
“We’re very much involved. We’re very — very cognizant of everything going on. We have it very much under control in this country,”. Feb 23. Fifty one confirmed cases.
“The Coronavirus is very much under control in the USA. We are in contact with everyone and all relevant countries. CDC & World Health have been working hard and very smart. Stock Market starting to look very good to me!” Feb 24.
“You may ask about the coronavirus, which is very well under control in our country. We have very few people with it, and the people that have it are – in all cases, I have not heard anything other,”
“I want you to understand something that shocked me when I saw it that — and I spoke with Dr. Fauci on this, and I was really amazed, and I think most people are amazed to hear it: The flu, in our country, kills from 25,000 people to 69,000 people a year. That was shocking to me. And, so far, if you look at what we have with the 15 people and their recovery, one is — one is pretty sick but hopefully will recover, but the others are in great shape. But think of that: 25,000 to 69,000. … “And again, when you have 15 people, and the 15 within a couple of days is going to be down to close to zero, that’s a pretty good job we’ve done,” Feb 26. Sixty confirmed cases. Note: as of today , April 27, we have over 976,000 confirmed cases and over 55,000 deaths in the US.
“We’ve taken the most aggressive actions to confront the coronavirus. They are the most aggressive taken by any country and we’re the number one travel destination anywhere in the world, yet we have far fewer cases of the disease than even countries with much less travel or a much smaller population.” Feb 29.
trump’s actions: Feb 5 the trump administration briefed US lawmakers on coronavirus. Feb 6 started shipping CDC test kits to US and international labs. Feb 9, the White House Coronavirus Task Force started briefing governors. They also worked with a couple of different companies to develop a vaccine and a treatment, requested $2.5 billion dollars for dealing with this virus, allowed certified labs to develop and test virus testing kits while reviewing pending applications, banned all travel to Iran, and announced a level 4 travel advisory to areas of Italy and South Korea.
Commentary: The trump administration knew how bad it was likely going to be in the beginning of February. After all, it was based on a briefing about the coronavirus that some Congresspersons sold their stocks. In fact, one of these, Senator Burr, told a private group at a luncheon that,
““There’s one thing that I can tell you about this: It is much more aggressive in its transmission than anything that we have seen in recent history … It is probably more akin to the 1918 pandemic.”
He warned that companies might have to curtail their employees’ travel, that schools could close and that the military might be mobilized to compensate for overwhelmed hospitals.”
Meanwhile, both he and trump continued to downplay and dismiss the seriousness of this pandemic in their public statements.
As for the testing kits, the ones distributed on Feb 6 were quickly found to be defective. We have not made up for the lost time and are still grossly behind the number needed to test enough to safely come off stay at home. This is not to mention that there have been very few, or no efforts to establish contact tracing teams. Oh, and yeah, the coronavirus and flu are not comparable. The coronavirus is much worse. We have already exceeded the number of deaths from the flu during one year within just a month. We are set to exceed the most recent high number of flu deaths during a full year within another couple of months. In a year, the numbers will not even be close to being comparable.
Then there are the lies trump told about us acting more aggressively than any other country – Taiwan, Singapore, South Korea, Australia, New Zealand, Germany acted much more aggressively than the US, and others did too.
True hope missed, false hope created.
This is getting to be much longer than I had envisioned, and is already about twice the length of what I try to write, so just a couple more quotes from trump and I will then sum it all up.
“There is tremendous hope as we look forward and we begin to see the light at the end of the tunnel.” March 24. US had 65,800 confirmed cases. Now, we have 976,000 confirmed cases. A 1,483% increase in just over a month.
“Anybody that wants a test can get a test.” March 6. Not even close to being true then. Still not close to being true now.
And many more such statements that I did not quote, enough to more than triple the length of this blog.
To sum it all up
Hope is not generated by downplaying and dismissing how serious a situation is.
Hope is not generated by touting questionable therapies that have not been anywhere close to being proven.
Hope is not generated by refusing to take any responsibility and, instead, blaming everyone and everything else.
Hope is not generated by talking about grossly unrealistic timelines for a vaccine.
Hope is not generated by touting cleaning products as possible solutions.
Hope is not generated by having your administration contradict itself, and the health experts. trump is leading the way on this contradiction, not only with his administration and health officials but with himself. Such as when he praised those protesting stay at home actions but then goes on to condemn Georgia starting to open up again.
Hope is not generated by stating that you have taken actions you have not, that you have sufficient supplies of medical equipment and testing equipment when you don’t.
Hope is not generated when you take minimally effective actions.
Hope is generated by being honest and upfront about how bad a situations could get, and the consequences to Americans if it does get that bad.
Hope is generated by going over what is being done to prevent the worst case, what will probably happen in the future, and what each person can to both survive and help prevent the worst.
Hope is generated by focusing resources and people on what is needed – in this case, testing kits and contact tracing.
Hope is generated by effectively coordinating responses and actions – both with state governments and with private industry.
Hope is generated when you mention those who have died and publicly mourn their loss.
Hope is generated when you make it clear that saving lives is first priority, and that help will be provided for people to both survive economically and to, eventually, fix the economy again (and being upfront thatthis will take time). To express the reality that without it being safe to work again, the economy will not recover and not get better.
The problem with false hope is that it winds up creating mistrust when trust is most needed, creating frustration during times already overflowing with frustrations and creating greater fear and uncertainty during a time of fear and uncertainty. Due to political needs and desires, expediency, and a lack of empathy and care, trump has chosen to provide false hopes. And in so doing made our bad situation much worse.
True hope, the type that sustains people and helps them weather the bad is based upon honesty, truth, and appropriate action.
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